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Do split URL A/B tests work on lead capture pages?

About the same as anywhere else. Split URL tests win 12% of the time on lead capture pages, against 11% across all page types. This page neither helps nor hurts the change type.

It is not the best use of a test slot on this page though. CTA copy tests win 21% on lead capture pages on 38 tests tests.

The numbers

lead capture pagesall page types
Tests analysed100+1,000+
Beat control12%11%
No measurable difference56%
Lost to control32%
Median lift when it won +26.3%

Median traffic per variant was 638 visitors.

What else is worth testing on lead capture pages

change typewin rate on lead capture pagestests
CTA copy 21%38 tests
Split URL (this page) 12%100+
Headline 11%50+
Styling 10%50+

Only change types with at least 30 tests on lead capture pages appear here.

What counts as a split URL test

Traffic is split between two addresses. The variant is a different page at its own URL, not a modified version of the control.

Control and variant wireframe for a split URL A/B test
Control on the left, variant on the right. For how this differs from adjacent categories, see the split URL benchmark.

Why there are no examples on this page

A split URL variant is a whole separate page, so every description of what changed reduces to "traffic goes to a different page". The detail lives on the variant page itself, which belongs to the customer.

Who ran these tests

This is every Mida account that ran a readable test — in-house marketers, founders, product teams, and agencies working on client sites. Nothing here is filtered by who ran the experiment or how experienced they are.

Low win rates are normal in experimentation, including at the top end. Microsoft's experimentation team, reporting on its own platform, found that only about one third of ideas improve the metric they were designed to improve — and that roughly another third actively hurt it. That is a dedicated experimentation organisation with research, prioritisation and review behind every test.

A mixed population like this one runs below that. The gap is roughly what disciplined practice buys you: ideas grounded in research rather than opinion, one variable at a time, and tests built so the result can actually be read.

A win is a variant that beat its control on that test's primary goal with a statistically significant result. Tests that never got enough traffic to say anything either way are excluded. The methodology has the full detail, including what these numbers cannot tell you.